The cause of this increasing rainfall trend for Sheffield is not known. It may not be replicated in other parts of this country, let alone in other parts of the world. Is it part of a ‘natural’ climate cycle, or is this evidence of an impact caused by human beings? The Earth’s climate is a complicated and incompletely-understood system. Geological evidence shows that the Earth has experienced repeated climatic changes and extremes throughout its history, and the patterns in the two hemispheres can be quite different. In the last two and a half million years there have been several ice-ages and we are currently living in an inter-glacial period (the ‘Holocene’).
Since the beginning of the Holocene Period, approximately 12,000 years ago, the Earth’s temperature has been relatively stable (there is less information on rainfall). Nevertheless, different parts of the world have experienced subtle climate cycles, such as the drying-out of the Sahara, around 4000 years ago. Within the last thousand years, average temperatures were slightly higher in the Medieval Period, while the seventeenth to nineteenth centuries were colder, including the ‘Little Ice Age’, when the River Thames froze in wintertime.
One of the important factors that affects the Earth’s climate is the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Throughout the Holocene Period this had remained within a narrow range of 260-280 parts per million (ppm). From the 1850s, however, it began to increase as a consequence of human population expansion and industrial activity. In early January 2020, the concentration of atmospheric CO2
was measured at 413 ppm (see: https://www.co2.earth/daily-co2). This is a value not recorded on Earth since the end of the Pliocene Period, three million years ago. The rate and magnitude of this increase (in a geological sense) far exceeds the natural fluctuations in atmospheric CO2
that accompanied the freezing and thawing cycles of the Ice Ages.
Acknowledgement:
SAGT is grateful to Weston Park Weather Station, Museums Sheffield for providing the rainfall data and for granting permission for it to be presented on this news page.
Sources:
Boon, G. and Middleton, A., 2011. Sheffield’s Weather. Sorby Record Special Series No.16.
Zalasiewicz, J. and Williams, M., 2013. The Goldilocks Planet.